Archive for Mutual Funds
A Shockingly Simple Momentum Indicator For Stock Trading
Posted by: | CommentsTrend trading is the one of the best and most profitable trading strategy used by many traders. Infact, spotting a trend at the right time and riding it till the end can make you rich. When you are trading a trend, you are intereste din knowing how fast the trend is changing or what you may call moving whether it is moving up or down. When the rate of change of a trend goes up, it means that the price action is soon going to follow suit and rise as well!
Momentum was the velocity multiplied by the mass of the object. Now first what is a momentum? You must have read about the momentum in high school physics.Velocity was the rate of change. Now. a simple way to calculate the momentum of any security price is to divide the closing price today by the closing price ten days back and then multiply it by 100! So when we talk of momentum in trading, we are talking of the rate of change of any security prices.
This is your shockingly simple momentum indicator that you can use profitably in your trading. Now, if the price did not change, the momentum indicator will obviously will be 100. If the price went down, the momentum indicator will be less than 100 and if the price went up, the momentum indicator will be more than 100. Now, when the momentum indicator is greater than 100, the trend is expected to continue in the future.
This momentum indicator tells you what is most likely to happen in the future not what happened in the past. So it is a leading indicator. You must have heard about momentum investing or you can even call it momentum trading. In momentum investing , you buy a security at a high price and sell it even at a more higher price unlike ordinary investing where you buy low and sell high. The trick is to know that the price will continue to rise when you do momentum investing. How do you know that the security prices will continue to rise in the future? By looking at the business fundamentals like the sales or profits, if you find them to be rising and accelerating at the same time the security price is rising,there is momentum behind this move!
However, in momentum investing, you search for stocks that have rising prices that are expected to continue for sometime. So you buy high and sell even higher within a few weeks making a decent profit. You can use that profit to do more investing. As said before, instead of investing in a security or a stock you can do momentum investing. When you are doing ordinary investing, you are waiting for its price to appreciate to give you a capital gain. This price appreciation might take from a few months to even years tying down your capital in that investing.
So when you are doing momentum investing, you are looking for a security or a stock that has a potential to move big. How long this big move might take to materialize? Well, the expectation is for the big move to happen in a few weeks to a few months. Just like in ordinary physics, when a ball is set in motion, it will continue moving unless stopped. This is what the Newton’s First Law says. You can expect a security price to keep on rising as long as something drastic doesn’t happen to stop that rise. So what can be that something drastic? It can be a sudden breaking news about the misdoings of the management that have not been known to the public before. I am just giving you one example. There can be more. So before you do your momentum investing, it is always better to do some fundamental research on the company. Remember the Dot Com Bubble that burst and hurt many people a decade back. Lot of people were doing momentum investing without doing fundamental research on the stocks that they were investing in. So you need to do some fundamental research as well to ascertain that the rise in prices of a stock are sustainable over the long haul or not.
Now just like price momentum that we have been talking about above, we can calculate the earnings momentum. Earning momentum is the province of the investors. The investor looks at the quarterly earnings of the company to see if it is going up at a faster pace say from a steady pace of 10% a year to 12% or 15% and so on. If the earnings growth rate is going up what this means is that the underlying price is also going to accelerate.
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Before Short Selling-Know These Shocking Facts
Posted by: | CommentsShort selling is one of the favorite day trading strategies employed by many day traders. Many companies hate short sellers as they believe that short sellers were responsible in the fall of their stock prices. Nothing can be far from the truth. Short selling is just like anyother market mechanism that provides liquidity and better price discovery. Short selling can never destroy a company if its’ fundamentals are strong. Many stock brokers now let you short stocks with just the click of a mouse. When you sell stocks from your online brokerage account, the message asks you whether you are selling your own shares or short selling. You just need to click once on short selling and the rest is taken care of by the broker. These shares are a loan to you by the broker that you will have to return at a later date!
In some cases, the brokerage firm cannot borrow the shares as so many people have sold the stock short that there are no more shares to borrow. In that case, you will have to find another stock or use another strategy.
Day traders are not looking for long term fundamentals in order to go short. A day trader might go short on a stock that had go up for three consecutive days, figuring that they will go down on the fourth day. Day traders are only looking for stock that might go down in price for mundane reasons.
In simple words, once the stock starts to move down, you cannot short it. You will have to wait for its price to move up on the last trade, before your short selling order can be executed by the broker. Now, you cannot straight away short a stock as there are mechanisms in place employed by msot of the stock exchanges that don’t want a massive shorting attack on a stock. There is the famous Uptick Rule that has been put in place to prevent that from happening. What the Uptick Rule means is that you cannot short a stock unless it moves up on the last trade. This rule has been placed to prevent a stock from being driven down to almost zero by short sellers.
If you are wrong in your short selling decision, your loss can be catastrophic.How much risky short selling can be? Well, in theory there is no stopping a stock price to reach the sky. But don’t worry, short sellers also use stop loss so if the price starts to move up, your position will get closed automatically by the stop loss order.
There is something known as Short Squeeze. A short squeeze happens when the stock of the company that you have shorted has some good news that drives the stock prices high. Now if this happens, many short sellers might lose money and even get margin calls. When they get desperate to buy back the stock, its prices go even higher hurting them more.
Now many companies, brokers and investors hate short sellers and try tactics to bust them. Sometimes, they will issue good news or spread rumors of good news to create a squeeze. Other times, they can ask the stock holders collectively to tell their brokers not to loan out their shares. What this means is that short sellers have to buy back the shares and return them to the brokerage firm and close their short positions even if it does not make any sense.
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The world of finances is getting a lot more attention in today’s society, stay up to date on everything that is going on when you have the best financial newsletters available. There is so much strife facing our present day economy, that many are simply lost on what they must do to avoid destruction.
With thousands of people out of jobs, and even more people being forced to leave their homes the present state of our economy is almost frightening in a sense. The claims that we are in a recession is not a just statement, the world is falling subject to a worse depression then the Great Depression. No one knows when to expect an uplift and people are beginning to lose hope.
Studies are showing that by the time that the newest additions to our present day work force are ready to retire they will not be able to. The programs that pay for retirement programs are going to be depleted of funds. This basically means that people are going to have to continue working until they meet the end of their existence.
The only way that you can ensure that things will begin to look up for you and your family is to being investing early. The best financial newsletters will show you everything that you need to know to ensure that your money is going to justifiable places where it needs to be.
Currently EFT’s are beginning to climb the popularity scale. They bare similarities to the mutual funds that have been utilized for a while now, but have way more advantages. With the EFT’s there is no need to worry about maintenance fees and you do not have to be concerned about getting over taxed from choosing to invest.
The world is a crazy place, people who are trying to look out for themselves and store a little money aside for their future are having to pay money back during taxes because of their smart choices. Yet, there are many people who show no concern and they are reaping all of the benefits.
The best financial newsletters will allow you the opportunity to get a head start on everyone else. You will be able to peruse over your investment options in order to choose the right one for you to pursue in the present status of our economy. You should not anticipate on any Government funded programs being able to help you, they are busy trying to get their own budget straight, let alone millions of other peoples expenses.
Many programs that are funded by the Government, are trying to help themselves at the present time. The best financial newsletters will keep you informed about what you need to do to end up being financially secure enough to be able to retire at a decent age so you can enjoy the rest of your life.
The best financial newsletters will show you what you need to do, and also lead you through certain things that you need to know about the financial world. Do not allow yourself to fall victim to working until you meet the end of your existence. Life is supposed to be enjoyed, it should not be full of all work and no play per say.
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How To Get Great Performance Out of Bond Funds
Posted by: | CommentsThree years ago, the US credit system experienced something of a collapse, sending global markets into a whirlwind (a downward whirlwind it should be added). With that, a lot of investors were reminded of the importance of a proper asset allocation model, forcing them to re-examine their risk tolerance levels.
Ever since those bleak days in 2007, 2008, and again in March 2009, the concept of risk tolerance has taken on a brand-new meaning for aggressive and conservative investors alike. For the conservative investors, it meant that maintaining growth could no longer be found in bank-issued term deposits or government issued treasuries.
The aggressive investor, however, also has had to revisit asset allocation with added emphasis on the income class, which aggressive investors have traditionally shunned from their portfolios in favor of more aggressive equity class investments.
The income class of a decade ago is not the same as the class today. In fact, today’s bond funds have explore greater options for income and capital appreciation than their historic counterparts. High yield investments combined with greater-volatility debt means some of these bonds respond to market triggers the way some equities do.
When you really get to know these high yield investments, it becomes clear that they not only provide greater volatility than some equity funds, they pay greater income and offer just as much growth potential. Meanwhile, they achieve these benefits while taking on much less risk.
In a market where all else is equal, your bond investments will always have less risk than equity investments. The problem has been in the rating systems used by companies like S&P and Moody’s, both of which came under fire following the collateral debt obligations (CDOs) collapse in 07 and 08. Now you have B-rated bonds that just two years ago were solid investment-grade bonds. And with the spreads between corporate and government issues being wide, the individual investor stands to capitalize.
The better funds on the market will easily outperform the more-conservative equity funds. And with less trading within the fund, bond funds cost less to manage, resulting in greater savings for the investor seeking less risk.
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All Investments Have Gone Down In This Economy
Posted by: | CommentsWith the stock market going down so much over the last couple of years, many people have become gun-shy about buying stocks. This is understandable since most every stock had done nothing but go down for so long. However, there is signs of life and the market has moved back up somewhat.
Even though the market has made a small comeback, it does not guarantee that it will not start to head back down again. This is where you start to wonder whether you are missing out by not being in the market or whether this is just a false upward move before heading back down again. Professional investors have a slight advantage here because they are trained to understand market tendencies and to analyze the market.
Many people have thought about averaging down during this bear market, which just means they would buy more stock of what they already have but at lower prices. That would in effect lower the cost per share of the stocks they have but they would of course have more of them. This is a great thing to do if you can catch the market at the bottom but if the market has further to fall, then you just end up losing more money.
Any expert in the stock market will preach about the importance of stock diversification when you do get back in. What that entails is spreading your bets around on a variety of stocks rather than putting all your eggs in one basket. This is important because you want to protect yourself from picking one really bad stock and then losing most or even all of your money.
Even if you have been properly diversified, you have most likely lost money in this terrible environment. All investments types have suffered as well as jobs and anything else related to the economy. This will not last forever though, and at some point it will be the right time to get back in. Those that are able to recognize the correct reentry point will stand the best chance of cashing in and actually making money.
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