Archive for trading
A Shockingly Simple Momentum Indicator For Stock Trading
Posted by: | CommentsTrend trading is the one of the best and most profitable trading strategy used by many traders. Infact, spotting a trend at the right time and riding it till the end can make you rich. When you are trading a trend, you are intereste din knowing how fast the trend is changing or what you may call moving whether it is moving up or down. When the rate of change of a trend goes up, it means that the price action is soon going to follow suit and rise as well!
Momentum was the velocity multiplied by the mass of the object. Now first what is a momentum? You must have read about the momentum in high school physics.Velocity was the rate of change. Now. a simple way to calculate the momentum of any security price is to divide the closing price today by the closing price ten days back and then multiply it by 100! So when we talk of momentum in trading, we are talking of the rate of change of any security prices.
This is your shockingly simple momentum indicator that you can use profitably in your trading. Now, if the price did not change, the momentum indicator will obviously will be 100. If the price went down, the momentum indicator will be less than 100 and if the price went up, the momentum indicator will be more than 100. Now, when the momentum indicator is greater than 100, the trend is expected to continue in the future.
This momentum indicator tells you what is most likely to happen in the future not what happened in the past. So it is a leading indicator. You must have heard about momentum investing or you can even call it momentum trading. In momentum investing , you buy a security at a high price and sell it even at a more higher price unlike ordinary investing where you buy low and sell high. The trick is to know that the price will continue to rise when you do momentum investing. How do you know that the security prices will continue to rise in the future? By looking at the business fundamentals like the sales or profits, if you find them to be rising and accelerating at the same time the security price is rising,there is momentum behind this move!
However, in momentum investing, you search for stocks that have rising prices that are expected to continue for sometime. So you buy high and sell even higher within a few weeks making a decent profit. You can use that profit to do more investing. As said before, instead of investing in a security or a stock you can do momentum investing. When you are doing ordinary investing, you are waiting for its price to appreciate to give you a capital gain. This price appreciation might take from a few months to even years tying down your capital in that investing.
So when you are doing momentum investing, you are looking for a security or a stock that has a potential to move big. How long this big move might take to materialize? Well, the expectation is for the big move to happen in a few weeks to a few months. Just like in ordinary physics, when a ball is set in motion, it will continue moving unless stopped. This is what the Newton’s First Law says. You can expect a security price to keep on rising as long as something drastic doesn’t happen to stop that rise. So what can be that something drastic? It can be a sudden breaking news about the misdoings of the management that have not been known to the public before. I am just giving you one example. There can be more. So before you do your momentum investing, it is always better to do some fundamental research on the company. Remember the Dot Com Bubble that burst and hurt many people a decade back. Lot of people were doing momentum investing without doing fundamental research on the stocks that they were investing in. So you need to do some fundamental research as well to ascertain that the rise in prices of a stock are sustainable over the long haul or not.
Now just like price momentum that we have been talking about above, we can calculate the earnings momentum. Earning momentum is the province of the investors. The investor looks at the quarterly earnings of the company to see if it is going up at a faster pace say from a steady pace of 10% a year to 12% or 15% and so on. If the earnings growth rate is going up what this means is that the underlying price is also going to accelerate.
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Before Short Selling-Know These Shocking Facts
Posted by: | CommentsShort selling is one of the favorite day trading strategies employed by many day traders. Many companies hate short sellers as they believe that short sellers were responsible in the fall of their stock prices. Nothing can be far from the truth. Short selling is just like anyother market mechanism that provides liquidity and better price discovery. Short selling can never destroy a company if its’ fundamentals are strong. Many stock brokers now let you short stocks with just the click of a mouse. When you sell stocks from your online brokerage account, the message asks you whether you are selling your own shares or short selling. You just need to click once on short selling and the rest is taken care of by the broker. These shares are a loan to you by the broker that you will have to return at a later date!
In some cases, the brokerage firm cannot borrow the shares as so many people have sold the stock short that there are no more shares to borrow. In that case, you will have to find another stock or use another strategy.
Day traders are not looking for long term fundamentals in order to go short. A day trader might go short on a stock that had go up for three consecutive days, figuring that they will go down on the fourth day. Day traders are only looking for stock that might go down in price for mundane reasons.
In simple words, once the stock starts to move down, you cannot short it. You will have to wait for its price to move up on the last trade, before your short selling order can be executed by the broker. Now, you cannot straight away short a stock as there are mechanisms in place employed by msot of the stock exchanges that don’t want a massive shorting attack on a stock. There is the famous Uptick Rule that has been put in place to prevent that from happening. What the Uptick Rule means is that you cannot short a stock unless it moves up on the last trade. This rule has been placed to prevent a stock from being driven down to almost zero by short sellers.
If you are wrong in your short selling decision, your loss can be catastrophic.How much risky short selling can be? Well, in theory there is no stopping a stock price to reach the sky. But don’t worry, short sellers also use stop loss so if the price starts to move up, your position will get closed automatically by the stop loss order.
There is something known as Short Squeeze. A short squeeze happens when the stock of the company that you have shorted has some good news that drives the stock prices high. Now if this happens, many short sellers might lose money and even get margin calls. When they get desperate to buy back the stock, its prices go even higher hurting them more.
Now many companies, brokers and investors hate short sellers and try tactics to bust them. Sometimes, they will issue good news or spread rumors of good news to create a squeeze. Other times, they can ask the stock holders collectively to tell their brokers not to loan out their shares. What this means is that short sellers have to buy back the shares and return them to the brokerage firm and close their short positions even if it does not make any sense.
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The Three Best Trend Following Indicators On The Markets
Posted by: | CommentsStock market trading has faced many ups and downs recently. Each market in the world has its own trend. An investor has to follow the trend to get decent profits. In the next few lines we shall see Markets’ three best trend following indicators.
The strategy called trend following helps them earn good profits during the volatile state of the market also. Instead of predicting the market rates, investors jump and go in this policy. The indicators used by them to identify the trends are called trend following indicators. They consist of dips, stops and breakouts. Following these indicators in the long term is good.
Let us look at breakouts first. You can trade the breakouts to new highs and lows. Check momentum it will support this move if it occurs. Use the RSI also called the “relative strength index” for checking if momentum is accelerating. Enter the market if it does so. For information on RSI please visit the website Trendfollowingstrategies.com.
The next important things are called dips. The role of these dips is very important. When you want to overbought or oversell one product the dips make this product to come to a good price. Every day you can use 18 MA or also moving average which will make the product in better price for you.
Next are the stops. To earn decent profits you have to follow the larger trends. Unlike dips in stops investors observe the trend on forty day MA. ADX line is also used. Profits can be taken if the line goes above forty and turns downward.
These are the indicators that are used in trend following. The long time tend help to give the best results to the investors. For information on technical terms, visit Trendfollowingstrategies.com. And for information on the present hot stocks, visit Todayhotstocks.com.
Find more on trend following systems and trend following Michael.
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Which Forex Investment to Choose?
Posted by: | CommentsNowadays, there are many different currencies available for trading purpose. Also, there are commonly several ways that you can invest in forex market instead of just trading. Some of the channels are with higher while the others are lower. Therefore, you should pay attention to the different investment channels and understand their risks before actually invest in the market.
Forex trading is what most people can come up with when talking about forex. Forex trading is a “high risk high return” form of investment. Based on the floating exchange rate, you buy and sell the currencies to gain through the difference in exchange rates. As in most of the case, the currency fluctuation may not be the same as you expected, you are very likely to lose money. Therefore, if you choose to invest in forex trading, you should well prepare yourself to withstand the risk.
The other way to do forex investment is through forex related investment products. On average, there is a 5% or above gain for such investment products. This type of products is linked to exchange rate, interest rate, gold price and other international market index. Compared to forex trading, forex related investment products are with lower risk. But when the international market does not perform well, you are also likely to lose money.
Fixed income forex investments are with much lower risks compared to the two above. If you wish to invest in the forex market yet not able to withstand the high risk, this type of investment can be your good choice. But to remind you, such forex investment usually involves a fixed period of time like 3 months, 6 months or a year. You may not be able to liquidate or withdraw from the investment during such period.
Forex saving is possibly the nearly risk-free way to invest in the forex market. As with the low risk, the return is not that really attractive. Also, investing in forex saving does not mean you need not to catch up with the market information. You should also pay attention to the market information so that you can change your portfolio for 3 months or 6 months time.
The biggest advantage of forex saving lies with its high liquidity. You can take your money back and stop investing whenever you like. One tip for forex investment is to always focus on the long term instead of the short run. Also, you should try to spread your risks by investing in several currencies at the same time.
Sometimes, you lose money may not relate to your knowledge or luck. It can be very much related to your discipline to sell the investment at your target point. To help, you may actually try the forex trading systems which strictly follow rules in order to gain stable earnings in the long run.
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